Target Price Playground
GE
$308.35
๐ข
GE IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-47.5% vs 30d avg of 67.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $295 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $310 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.2 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $295 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.84 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GE hits $295 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$921 (81.1%) on $1,136 risked, vs $-1,335 (-4.3%) for 100 shares on $30,835. Options give 18.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GE is at $295. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GE hits $295 by Jun 19
+$921
+81.1% on $1,136 risked
Max Profit
+$903
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,130
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$311.78
+1.11% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
78%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-11.98 / 0.56 / 13.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GE Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $247 (-20%) | +$261 | +$295 | +$308 | +$270 |
| $262 (-15%) | +$222 | +$284 | +$351 | +$319 |
| $278 (-10%) | +$141 | +$221 | +$345 | +$475 |
| $295 (-4%) โ target | -$3 | +$70 | +$202 | +$900 |
| $302 (-2%) | -$75 | -$14 | +$97 | +$460 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | -$142 | -$94 | -$10 | +$135 |
| $315 (+2%) | -$211 | -$178 | -$126 | -$142 |
| $324 (+5%) | -$317 | -$308 | -$308 | -$471 |
| $339 (+10%) | -$490 | -$520 | -$590 | -$824 |
| $355 (+15%) | -$647 | -$703 | -$807 | -$1,005 |
| $370 (+20%) | -$780 | -$848 | -$953 | -$1,086 |
Uses GE's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.