Target Price Playground
GE
$308.35
๐ข
GE IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-47.5% vs 30d avg of 67.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $345 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $308.35 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GE hits $345 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$3,665 (11.9%) on $30,835 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GE hits $345 by Jun 19
+$3,665
+11.9% on $30,835 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$30,835
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$308.35
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
45%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GE Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $247 (-20%) | -$6,167 | -$6,167 | -$6,167 |
| $262 (-15%) | -$4,625 | -$4,625 | -$4,625 |
| $278 (-10%) | -$3,083 | -$3,083 | -$3,083 |
| $293 (-5%) | -$1,542 | -$1,542 | -$1,542 |
| $302 (-2%) | -$617 | -$617 | -$617 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $315 (+2%) | +$617 | +$617 | +$617 |
| $324 (+5%) | +$1,542 | +$1,542 | +$1,542 |
| $339 (+10%) | +$3,084 | +$3,084 | +$3,084 |
| $345 (+12%) โ target | +$3,665 | +$3,665 | +$3,665 |
| $355 (+15%) | +$4,625 | +$4,625 | +$4,625 |
| $370 (+20%) | +$6,167 | +$6,167 | +$6,167 |
Uses GE's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.