Target Price Playground
GE
$308.35
๐ข
GE IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-47.5% vs 30d avg of 67.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $340 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $308.35 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $295 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.84 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GE hits $340 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$1,981 (6.2%) on $32,019 risked, vs +$3,165 (10.3%) for 100 shares on $30,835. Options give 0.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GE is at $340. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GE hits $340 by Jun 19
+$1,981
+6.2% on $32,019 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$2,519
Put floors you at $295
Break-even
$320.19
+3.84% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
51%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
66.08 / -11.71 / 48.36
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GE Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $247 (-20%) | -$2,471 | -$2,543 | -$2,577 | -$2,519 |
| $262 (-15%) | -$2,151 | -$2,314 | -$2,478 | -$2,519 |
| $278 (-10%) | -$1,642 | -$1,885 | -$2,188 | -$2,519 |
| $293 (-5%) | -$924 | -$1,210 | -$1,593 | -$2,519 |
| $302 (-2%) | -$393 | -$683 | -$1,068 | -$1,801 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$285 | -$653 | -$1,184 |
| $315 (+2%) | +$422 | +$148 | -$191 | -$567 |
| $324 (+5%) | +$1,103 | +$856 | +$572 | +$358 |
| $340 (+10%) โ target | +$2,420 | +$2,230 | +$2,051 | +$1,981 |
| $355 (+15%) | +$3,704 | +$3,567 | +$3,463 | +$3,441 |
| $370 (+20%) | +$5,131 | +$5,041 | +$4,989 | +$4,983 |
Uses GE's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.