Target Price Playground
GEN
$17.89
๐ก
GEN IV: 42.4% โ NORMAL
(-5.3% vs 30d avg of 44.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $16 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.43 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $17 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.66 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEN hits $16 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$73 (95.2%) on $77 risked, vs $-239 (-13.4%) for 100 shares on $1,789. Options give 7.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEN is at $16. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEN hits $16 by Jun 19
+$73
+95.2% on $77 risked
Max Profit
+$73
If the stock โค $16 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$77
Net debit
Break-even
$17.23
-3.68% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.59 / -0.1 / 0.22
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $14 (-20%) | +$35 | +$40 | +$49 | +$73 |
| $15 (-15%) | +$26 | +$29 | +$37 | +$73 |
| $16 (-13%) โ target | +$24 | +$26 | +$32 | +$73 |
| $16 (-10%) | +$18 | +$19 | +$22 | +$73 |
| $17 (-5%) | +$9 | +$8 | +$7 | +$23 |
| $18 (-2%) | +$3 | +$1 | -$2 | -$30 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$3 | -$8 | -$66 |
| $18 (+2%) | -$4 | -$7 | -$14 | -$77 |
| $19 (+5%) | -$8 | -$13 | -$22 | -$77 |
| $20 (+10%) | -$16 | -$23 | -$34 | -$77 |
| $21 (+15%) | -$24 | -$31 | -$44 | -$77 |
| $21 (+20%) | -$30 | -$39 | -$53 | -$77 |
Uses GEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.