Target Price Playground
GEN
$17.89
๐ก
GEN IV: 42.4% โ NORMAL
(-5.3% vs 30d avg of 44.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $20 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.46 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.89 ยท ฮ 0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEN hits $20 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$92 (159.5%) on $58 risked, vs +$211 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $1,789. Options give 13.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEN is at $20. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEN hits $20 by Jun 19
+$92
+159.5% on $58 risked
Max Profit
+$92
If the stock โฅ $20 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$58
Net debit
Break-even
$18.58
+3.85% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
9.22 / 0.01 / -0.04
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $14 (-20%) | -$31 | -$36 | -$45 | -$57 |
| $15 (-15%) | -$23 | -$28 | -$37 | -$57 |
| $16 (-10%) | -$16 | -$19 | -$27 | -$57 |
| $17 (-5%) | -$7 | -$9 | -$14 | -$57 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$3 | -$3 | -$6 | -$57 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | +$1 | -$1 | -$57 |
| $18 (+2%) | +$4 | +$5 | +$5 | -$32 |
| $19 (+5%) | +$9 | +$11 | +$13 | +$21 |
| $20 (+10%) | +$17 | +$21 | +$27 | +$93 |
| $20 (+12%) โ target | +$20 | +$24 | +$32 | +$93 |
| $21 (+15%) | +$25 | +$30 | +$39 | +$93 |
| $21 (+20%) | +$32 | +$38 | +$51 | +$93 |
Uses GEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.