Target Price Playground
GEN
$17.89
๐ก
GEN IV: 42.4% โ NORMAL
(-5.3% vs 30d avg of 44.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $17 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $18 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.85 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $17 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.9 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEN hits $17 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$111 (116.3%) on $95 risked, vs $-89 (-5.0%) for 100 shares on $1,789. Options give 23.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEN is at $17. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEN hits $17 by Jun 19
+$111
+116.3% on $95 risked
Max Profit
+$109
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$68
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$19.63
+9.73% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
89%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-4.81 / 0.25 / 0.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $14 (-20%) | +$11 | +$18 | +$27 | +$28 |
| $15 (-15%) | +$10 | +$17 | +$30 | +$48 |
| $16 (-10%) | +$8 | +$15 | +$30 | +$75 |
| $17 (-5%) โ target | +$4 | +$12 | +$27 | +$111 |
| $18 (-2%) | +$2 | +$9 | +$23 | +$84 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$7 | +$21 | +$66 |
| $18 (+2%) | -$1 | +$5 | +$17 | +$50 |
| $19 (+5%) | -$4 | +$2 | +$12 | +$29 |
| $20 (+10%) | -$9 | -$5 | +$2 | -$1 |
| $21 (+15%) | -$15 | -$12 | -$9 | -$25 |
| $21 (+20%) | -$20 | -$19 | -$20 | -$43 |
Uses GEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.