Target Price Playground
GEN
$17.89
๐ก
GEN IV: 42.4% โ NORMAL
(-5.3% vs 30d avg of 44.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $16 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.43 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEN hits $16 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$7 (3.0%) on $243 risked, vs $-239 (-13.4%) for 100 shares on $1,789. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEN is at $16. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEN hits $16 by Jun 19
+$7
+3.0% on $243 risked
Max Profit
+$1,557
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$243
Premium paid
Break-even
$15.57
-12.95% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.91 / -1.68 / 3.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $14 (-20%) | +$197 | +$171 | +$142 | +$126 |
| $15 (-15%) | +$139 | +$107 | +$70 | +$36 |
| $16 (-13%) โ target | +$121 | +$88 | +$48 | +$7 |
| $16 (-10%) | +$87 | +$51 | +$6 | -$53 |
| $17 (-5%) | +$40 | +$1 | -$50 | -$143 |
| $18 (-2%) | +$16 | -$25 | -$78 | -$196 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$41 | -$96 | -$232 |
| $18 (+2%) | -$15 | -$57 | -$112 | -$243 |
| $19 (+5%) | -$36 | -$78 | -$133 | -$243 |
| $20 (+10%) | -$67 | -$109 | -$163 | -$243 |
| $21 (+15%) | -$94 | -$135 | -$185 | -$243 |
| $21 (+20%) | -$118 | -$157 | -$202 | -$243 |
Uses GEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.