Target Price Playground
GEN
$17.89
๐ก
GEN IV: 42.4% โ NORMAL
(-5.3% vs 30d avg of 44.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $20 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $17.89 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $17 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.9 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEN hits $20 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-29 (-1.5%) on $1,979 risked, vs +$161 (9.0%) for 100 shares on $1,789. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEN is at $20. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEN hits $20 by Jun 19
$-29
-1.5% on $1,979 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$279
Put floors you at $17
Break-even
$19.79
+10.61% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.47 / -1.63 / 2.88
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $14 (-20%) | -$184 | -$213 | -$249 | -$279 |
| $15 (-15%) | -$146 | -$180 | -$223 | -$279 |
| $16 (-10%) | -$103 | -$141 | -$189 | -$279 |
| $17 (-5%) | -$54 | -$93 | -$145 | -$279 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$23 | -$62 | -$114 | -$226 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$40 | -$92 | -$190 |
| $18 (+2%) | +$23 | -$17 | -$68 | -$154 |
| $19 (+5%) | +$59 | +$19 | -$31 | -$101 |
| $20 (+9%) โ target | +$109 | +$71 | +$24 | -$29 |
| $20 (+10%) | +$122 | +$85 | +$38 | -$11 |
| $21 (+15%) | +$190 | +$154 | +$112 | +$78 |
| $21 (+20%) | +$261 | +$227 | +$191 | +$168 |
Uses GEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.