Target Price Playground
GEN
$17.89
๐ก
GEN IV: 42.4% โ NORMAL
(-5.3% vs 30d avg of 44.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $21 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.46 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.43 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEN hits $21 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-239 (-48.9%) on $489 risked, vs +$261 (14.6%) for 100 shares on $1,789. Options give 3.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEN is at $21. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEN hits $21 by Jun 19
$-239
-48.9% on $489 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$489
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$13.11
-26.73% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.17 / -3.59 / 6.02
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $14 (-20%) | +$37 | -$20 | -$83 | -$120 |
| $15 (-15%) | +$11 | -$57 | -$138 | -$210 |
| $16 (-10%) | -$4 | -$81 | -$177 | -$299 |
| $17 (-5%) | -$7 | -$90 | -$198 | -$389 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$4 | -$90 | -$202 | -$442 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$87 | -$201 | -$478 |
| $18 (+2%) | +$6 | -$82 | -$197 | -$464 |
| $19 (+5%) | +$18 | -$71 | -$186 | -$411 |
| $20 (+10%) | +$45 | -$43 | -$156 | -$321 |
| $21 (+15%) โ target | +$77 | -$9 | -$115 | -$239 |
| $21 (+20%) | +$123 | +$41 | -$56 | -$142 |
Uses GEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.