Target Price Playground
GEN
$17.89
๐ก
GEN IV: 42.4% โ NORMAL
(-5.3% vs 30d avg of 44.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $20 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $17.89 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.89 ยท ฮ 0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEN hits $20 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$350 (21.9%) on $1,600 risked, vs +$161 (9.0%) for 100 shares on $1,789. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEN is at $20. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEN hits $20 by Jun 19
+$350
+21.9% on $1,600 risked
Max Profit
+$350
If the stock โฅ $20 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,600
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$16.00
-10.55% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
52.14 / 1.92 / -3.05
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $14 (-20%) | -$229 | -$203 | -$178 | -$169 |
| $15 (-15%) | -$163 | -$131 | -$98 | -$79 |
| $16 (-10%) | -$104 | -$66 | -$24 | +$10 |
| $17 (-5%) | -$49 | -$6 | +$45 | +$100 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$19 | +$26 | +$81 | +$153 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$46 | +$104 | +$189 |
| $18 (+2%) | +$19 | +$66 | +$126 | +$225 |
| $19 (+5%) | +$44 | +$93 | +$155 | +$278 |
| $20 (+9%) โ target | +$76 | +$126 | +$191 | +$350 |
| $20 (+10%) | +$84 | +$134 | +$199 | +$350 |
| $21 (+15%) | +$118 | +$169 | +$234 | +$350 |
| $21 (+20%) | +$149 | +$199 | +$262 | +$350 |
Uses GEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.