Target Price Playground
GEN
$17.89
๐ก
GEN IV: 42.4% โ NORMAL
(-5.3% vs 30d avg of 44.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $20 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.46 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEN hits $20 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-46 (-18.9%) on $246 risked, vs +$211 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $1,789. Options give 1.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEN is at $20. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEN hits $20 by Jun 19
$-46
-18.9% on $246 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$246
Premium paid
Break-even
$20.46
+14.39% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.09 / -1.9 / 3.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $14 (-20%) | -$160 | -$191 | -$225 | -$246 |
| $15 (-15%) | -$128 | -$165 | -$207 | -$246 |
| $16 (-10%) | -$91 | -$132 | -$182 | -$246 |
| $17 (-5%) | -$48 | -$92 | -$148 | -$246 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$20 | -$65 | -$123 | -$246 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$45 | -$105 | -$246 |
| $18 (+2%) | +$21 | -$25 | -$85 | -$221 |
| $19 (+5%) | +$54 | +$7 | -$53 | -$168 |
| $20 (+10%) | +$112 | +$66 | +$7 | -$78 |
| $20 (+12%) โ target | +$134 | +$88 | +$30 | -$46 |
| $21 (+15%) | +$174 | +$129 | +$74 | +$11 |
| $21 (+20%) | +$241 | +$197 | +$147 | +$101 |
Uses GEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.