Target Price Playground
GEV
$991.32
๐ข
GEV IV: 50.7% โ LOW
(-27.7% vs 30d avg of 70.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $870 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $990 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $81.08 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $910 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $49.3 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEV hits $870 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$4,822 (151.7%) on $3,178 risked, vs $-12,132 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $99,132. Options give 12.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEV is at $870. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEV hits $870 by Jun 19
+$4,822
+151.7% on $3,178 risked
Max Profit
+$4,822
If the stock โค $910 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$3,178
Net debit
Break-even
$958.22
-3.34% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-14.19 / -4.7 / 27.92
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEV Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $793 (-20%) | +$3,252 | +$3,592 | +$4,159 | +$4,822 |
| $843 (-15%) | +$2,603 | +$2,880 | +$3,426 | +$4,822 |
| $870 (-12%) โ target | +$2,211 | +$2,426 | +$2,879 | +$4,822 |
| $892 (-10%) | +$1,884 | +$2,036 | +$2,378 | +$4,822 |
| $942 (-5%) | +$1,141 | +$1,136 | +$1,148 | +$1,647 |
| $971 (-2%) | +$701 | +$600 | +$403 | -$1,327 |
| $991 (0%) โ spot | +$416 | +$253 | -$71 | -$3,178 |
| $1011 (+2%) | +$140 | -$80 | -$518 | -$3,178 |
| $1041 (+5%) | -$256 | -$549 | -$1,118 | -$3,178 |
| $1090 (+10%) | -$852 | -$1,232 | -$1,912 | -$3,178 |
| $1140 (+15%) | -$1,363 | -$1,783 | -$2,453 | -$3,178 |
| $1190 (+20%) | -$1,787 | -$2,207 | -$2,789 | -$3,178 |
Uses GEV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.