Target Price Playground
GEV
$991.32
๐ข
GEV IV: 50.7% โ LOW
(-27.7% vs 30d avg of 70.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1110 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $990 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $90.88 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $1070 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $57.44 ยท ฮ 0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEV hits $1110 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$4,656 (139.2%) on $3,344 risked, vs +$11,868 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $99,132. Options give 11.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEV is at $1110. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEV hits $1110 by Jun 19
+$4,656
+139.2% on $3,344 risked
Max Profit
+$4,656
If the stock โฅ $1070 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$3,344
Net debit
Break-even
$1023.44
+3.24% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.6 / -4.19 / -8.75
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEV Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $793 (-20%) | -$2,495 | -$2,795 | -$3,170 | -$3,344 |
| $843 (-15%) | -$2,029 | -$2,353 | -$2,870 | -$3,344 |
| $892 (-10%) | -$1,462 | -$1,752 | -$2,309 | -$3,344 |
| $942 (-5%) | -$821 | -$1,019 | -$1,459 | -$3,344 |
| $971 (-2%) | -$415 | -$536 | -$835 | -$3,344 |
| $991 (0%) โ spot | -$141 | -$205 | -$388 | -$3,212 |
| $1011 (+2%) | +$134 | +$130 | +$73 | -$1,229 |
| $1041 (+5%) | +$543 | +$629 | +$768 | +$1,745 |
| $1090 (+10%) | +$1,198 | +$1,425 | +$1,857 | +$4,656 |
| $1110 (+12%) โ target | +$1,444 | +$1,718 | +$2,242 | +$4,656 |
| $1140 (+15%) | +$1,802 | +$2,140 | +$2,769 | +$4,656 |
| $1190 (+20%) | +$2,340 | +$2,750 | +$3,460 | +$4,656 |
Uses GEV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.