Target Price Playground
GEV
$991.32
๐ข
GEV IV: 50.7% โ LOW
(-27.7% vs 30d avg of 70.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1070 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $991.32 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $1070 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $57.44 ยท ฮ 0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEV hits $1070 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$13,612 (14.6%) on $93,388 risked, vs +$7,868 (7.9%) for 100 shares on $99,132. Options give 1.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEV is at $1070. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEV hits $1070 by Jun 19
+$13,612
+14.6% on $93,388 risked
Max Profit
+$13,612
If the stock โฅ $1070 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$93,388
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$933.88
-5.79% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.1 / 64.87 / -177.89
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEV Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $793 (-20%) | -$14,987 | -$14,458 | -$14,129 | -$14,082 |
| $843 (-15%) | -$10,750 | -$9,942 | -$9,297 | -$9,126 |
| $892 (-10%) | -$6,851 | -$5,739 | -$4,662 | -$4,169 |
| $942 (-5%) | -$3,347 | -$1,947 | -$388 | +$787 |
| $971 (-2%) | -$1,447 | +$102 | +$1,931 | +$3,761 |
| $991 (0%) โ spot | -$267 | +$1,367 | +$3,354 | +$5,744 |
| $1011 (+2%) | +$843 | +$2,549 | +$4,670 | +$7,727 |
| $1041 (+5%) | +$2,378 | +$4,165 | +$6,434 | +$10,701 |
| $1070 (+8%) โ target | +$3,733 | +$5,567 | +$7,910 | +$13,612 |
| $1090 (+10%) | +$4,601 | +$6,448 | +$8,803 | +$13,612 |
| $1140 (+15%) | +$6,432 | +$8,253 | +$10,507 | +$13,612 |
| $1190 (+20%) | +$7,911 | +$9,636 | +$11,653 | +$13,612 |
Uses GEV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.