Target Price Playground
GEV
$991.32
๐ข
GEV IV: 50.7% โ LOW
(-27.7% vs 30d avg of 70.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $940 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $990 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $98.0 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $940 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $60.15 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEV hits $940 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$4,228 (111.7%) on $3,785 risked, vs $-5,132 (-5.2%) for 100 shares on $99,132. Options give 21.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEV is at $940. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEV hits $940 by Jun 19
+$4,228
+111.7% on $3,785 risked
Max Profit
+$4,200
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$3,616
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$1027.92
+3.69% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-8.41 / 6.97 / 37.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEV Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $793 (-20%) | +$1,058 | +$1,268 | +$1,478 | +$1,230 |
| $843 (-15%) | +$942 | +$1,225 | +$1,636 | +$1,776 |
| $892 (-10%) | +$733 | +$1,049 | +$1,595 | +$2,798 |
| $940 (-5%) โ target | +$450 | +$747 | +$1,297 | +$4,372 |
| $971 (-2%) | +$227 | +$486 | +$965 | +$2,611 |
| $991 (0%) โ spot | +$75 | +$301 | +$711 | +$1,647 |
| $1011 (+2%) | -$84 | +$104 | +$430 | +$793 |
| $1041 (+5%) | -$333 | -$208 | -$23 | -$294 |
| $1090 (+10%) | -$762 | -$749 | -$805 | -$1,645 |
| $1140 (+15%) | -$1,187 | -$1,280 | -$1,535 | -$2,531 |
| $1190 (+20%) | -$1,591 | -$1,770 | -$2,154 | -$3,080 |
Uses GEV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.