Target Price Playground
GEV
$991.32
๐ข
GEV IV: 50.7% โ LOW
(-27.7% vs 30d avg of 70.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1110 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $990 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $90.88 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEV hits $1110 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$2,912 (32.0%) on $9,088 risked, vs +$11,868 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $99,132. Options give 2.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEV is at $1110. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEV hits $1110 by Jun 19
+$2,912
+32.0% on $9,088 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$9,088
Premium paid
Break-even
$1080.88
+9.03% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.5 / -69.07 / 169.14
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEV Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $793 (-20%) | -$7,334 | -$8,163 | -$8,868 | -$9,088 |
| $843 (-15%) | -$6,149 | -$7,281 | -$8,443 | -$9,088 |
| $892 (-10%) | -$4,523 | -$5,925 | -$7,559 | -$9,088 |
| $942 (-5%) | -$2,431 | -$4,029 | -$6,028 | -$9,088 |
| $971 (-2%) | -$952 | -$2,621 | -$4,749 | -$9,088 |
| $991 (0%) โ spot | +$126 | -$1,572 | -$3,742 | -$8,956 |
| $1011 (+2%) | +$1,274 | -$436 | -$2,614 | -$6,973 |
| $1041 (+5%) | +$3,121 | +$1,421 | -$709 | -$3,999 |
| $1090 (+10%) | +$6,510 | +$4,889 | +$2,967 | +$957 |
| $1110 (+12%) โ target | +$7,944 | +$6,372 | +$4,560 | +$2,912 |
| $1140 (+15%) | +$10,241 | +$8,757 | +$7,132 | +$5,914 |
| $1190 (+20%) | +$14,255 | +$12,940 | +$11,632 | +$10,870 |
Uses GEV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.