Target Price Playground
GEV
$991.32
๐ข
GEV IV: 50.7% โ LOW
(-27.7% vs 30d avg of 70.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $870 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $990 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $81.08 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEV hits $870 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$3,892 (48.0%) on $8,108 risked, vs $-12,132 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $99,132. Options give 3.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEV is at $870. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEV hits $870 by Jun 19
+$3,892
+48.0% on $8,108 risked
Max Profit
+$90,892
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$8,108
Premium paid
Break-even
$908.92
-8.31% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.86 / -59.56 / 169.25
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEV Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $793 (-20%) | +$12,526 | +$11,964 | +$11,526 | +$11,586 |
| $843 (-15%) | +$8,755 | +$7,889 | +$6,994 | +$6,630 |
| $870 (-12%) โ target | +$6,858 | +$5,836 | +$4,675 | +$3,892 |
| $892 (-10%) | +$5,423 | +$4,288 | +$2,921 | +$1,673 |
| $942 (-5%) | +$2,559 | +$1,228 | -$503 | -$3,283 |
| $971 (-2%) | +$1,065 | -$338 | -$2,198 | -$6,257 |
| $991 (0%) โ spot | +$160 | -$1,271 | -$3,174 | -$8,108 |
| $1011 (+2%) | -$676 | -$2,119 | -$4,029 | -$8,108 |
| $1041 (+5%) | -$1,802 | -$3,236 | -$5,098 | -$8,108 |
| $1090 (+10%) | -$3,369 | -$4,723 | -$6,379 | -$8,108 |
| $1140 (+15%) | -$4,596 | -$5,813 | -$7,170 | -$8,108 |
| $1190 (+20%) | -$5,537 | -$6,586 | -$7,626 | -$8,108 |
Uses GEV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.