Target Price Playground
GEV
$991.32
๐ข
GEV IV: 50.7% โ LOW
(-27.7% vs 30d avg of 70.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1090 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $991.32 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $940 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $60.15 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEV hits $1090 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$3,853 (3.7%) on $105,147 risked, vs +$9,868 (10.0%) for 100 shares on $99,132. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEV is at $1090. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEV hits $1090 by Jun 19
+$3,853
+3.7% on $105,147 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$11,147
Put floors you at $940
Break-even
$1051.47
+6.07% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.28 / -56.0 / 163.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEV Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $793 (-20%) | -$9,323 | -$10,103 | -$10,884 | -$11,147 |
| $843 (-15%) | -$7,753 | -$8,809 | -$10,066 | -$11,147 |
| $892 (-10%) | -$5,693 | -$6,951 | -$8,584 | -$11,147 |
| $942 (-5%) | -$3,144 | -$4,503 | -$6,310 | -$10,972 |
| $971 (-2%) | -$1,390 | -$2,760 | -$4,564 | -$7,998 |
| $991 (0%) โ spot | -$133 | -$1,492 | -$3,251 | -$6,015 |
| $1011 (+2%) | +$1,190 | -$143 | -$1,832 | -$4,032 |
| $1041 (+5%) | +$3,289 | +$2,016 | +$475 | -$1,058 |
| $1090 (+10%) โ target | +$7,027 | +$5,896 | +$4,656 | +$3,853 |
| $1140 (+15%) | +$11,128 | +$10,170 | +$9,247 | +$8,855 |
| $1190 (+20%) | +$15,423 | +$14,642 | +$13,993 | +$13,811 |
Uses GEV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.