Target Price Playground
GEV
$991.32
๐ข
GEV IV: 50.7% โ LOW
(-27.7% vs 30d avg of 70.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $990 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $90.88 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $990 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $81.08 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GEV hits $1140 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-2,196 (-12.8%) on $17,196 risked, vs +$14,868 (15.0%) for 100 shares on $99,132. Options give 0.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GEV is at $1140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GEV hits $1140 by Jun 19
$-2,196
-12.8% on $17,196 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$17,196
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$1161.96
+17.21% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.64 / -128.63 / 338.39
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GEV Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $793 (-20%) | +$5,193 | +$3,801 | +$2,658 | +$2,498 |
| $843 (-15%) | +$2,606 | +$608 | -$1,449 | -$2,458 |
| $892 (-10%) | +$900 | -$1,638 | -$4,638 | -$7,415 |
| $942 (-5%) | +$128 | -$2,801 | -$6,531 | -$12,371 |
| $971 (-2%) | +$114 | -$2,960 | -$6,947 | -$15,345 |
| $991 (0%) โ spot | +$286 | -$2,843 | -$6,916 | -$17,064 |
| $1011 (+2%) | +$598 | -$2,555 | -$6,643 | -$15,081 |
| $1041 (+5%) | +$1,319 | -$1,815 | -$5,807 | -$12,107 |
| $1090 (+10%) | +$3,141 | +$166 | -$3,412 | -$7,151 |
| $1140 (+15%) โ target | +$5,644 | +$2,943 | -$40 | -$2,196 |
| $1190 (+20%) | +$8,718 | +$6,354 | +$4,006 | +$2,762 |
Uses GEV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.