Target Price Playground
GLW
$171.24
๐ข
GLW IV: 15.2% โ LOW
(-83.3% vs 30d avg of 91.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $150 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $170 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.78 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $160 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.9 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GLW hits $150 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$612 (157.7%) on $388 risked, vs $-2,124 (-12.4%) for 100 shares on $17,124. Options give 12.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GLW is at $150. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GLW hits $150 by Jun 19
+$612
+157.7% on $388 risked
Max Profit
+$612
If the stock โค $160 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$388
Net debit
Break-even
$166.12
-2.99% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
7%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-10.92 / 2.69 / 1.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GLW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $137 (-20%) | +$598 | +$605 | +$609 | +$612 |
| $146 (-15%) | +$558 | +$587 | +$607 | +$612 |
| $150 (-12%) โ target | +$501 | +$546 | +$592 | +$612 |
| $154 (-10%) | +$415 | +$469 | +$543 | +$612 |
| $163 (-5%) | +$153 | +$176 | +$218 | +$344 |
| $168 (-2%) | -$18 | -$29 | -$57 | -$170 |
| $171 (0%) โ spot | -$119 | -$147 | -$203 | -$388 |
| $175 (+2%) | -$202 | -$238 | -$299 | -$388 |
| $180 (+5%) | -$292 | -$325 | -$366 | -$388 |
| $188 (+10%) | -$363 | -$378 | -$387 | -$388 |
| $197 (+15%) | -$383 | -$387 | -$388 | -$388 |
| $205 (+20%) | -$387 | -$388 | -$388 | -$388 |
Uses GLW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.