Target Price Playground
๐ Strategy
๐ฏ Target
โ๏ธ Legs
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GLW hits $180 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$1,490 (10.3%) on $-1,490 credit (max loss $14,510), vs +$876 (5.1%) for 100 shares on $17,124. Options give 2.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GLW is at $180. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GLW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $137 (-20%) | -$685 | -$723 | -$766 | -$811 |
| $146 (-15%) | +$125 | +$113 | +$88 | +$45 |
| $154 (-10%) | +$795 | +$834 | +$879 | +$902 |
| $163 (-5%) | +$1,221 | +$1,279 | +$1,358 | +$1,490 |
| $168 (-2%) | +$1,359 | +$1,405 | +$1,457 | +$1,490 |
| $171 (0%) โ spot | +$1,414 | +$1,448 | +$1,479 | +$1,490 |
| $175 (+2%) | +$1,448 | +$1,471 | +$1,487 | +$1,490 |
| $180 (+5%) โ target | +$1,475 | +$1,485 | +$1,490 | +$1,490 |
| $188 (+10%) | +$1,488 | +$1,490 | +$1,490 | +$1,490 |
| $197 (+15%) | +$1,490 | +$1,490 | +$1,490 | +$1,490 |
| $205 (+20%) | +$1,490 | +$1,490 | +$1,490 | +$1,490 |