Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
GLW
$171.24
๐ŸŸข
GLW IV: 15.2% โ€” LOW (-83.3% vs 30d avg of 91.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $180 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $160 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.9 ยท ฮ” -0.33
P&L at Expiry Now $171 Target $180 $120 $171 $223
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If GLW hits $180 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$1,490 (10.3%) on $-1,490 credit (max loss $14,510), vs +$876 (5.1%) for 100 shares on $17,124. Options give 2.0ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GLW is at $180. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if GLW hits $180 by Jun 19
+$1,490
+10.3% on $14,510 max loss
Max Profit
+$1,490
If the stock โ‰ฅ $160 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$14,510
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$145.10
-15.27% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
46%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
33.08 / 10.0 / -27.55
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

GLW Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$137 (-20%) -$685 -$723 -$766 -$811
$146 (-15%) +$125 +$113 +$88 +$45
$154 (-10%) +$795 +$834 +$879 +$902
$163 (-5%) +$1,221 +$1,279 +$1,358 +$1,490
$168 (-2%) +$1,359 +$1,405 +$1,457 +$1,490
$171 (0%) โ† spot +$1,414 +$1,448 +$1,479 +$1,490
$175 (+2%) +$1,448 +$1,471 +$1,487 +$1,490
$180 (+5%) โ† target +$1,475 +$1,485 +$1,490 +$1,490
$188 (+10%) +$1,488 +$1,490 +$1,490 +$1,490
$197 (+15%) +$1,490 +$1,490 +$1,490 +$1,490
$205 (+20%) +$1,490 +$1,490 +$1,490 +$1,490
Uses GLW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.