Target Price Playground
GLW
$171.24
๐ข
GLW IV: 15.2% โ LOW
(-83.3% vs 30d avg of 91.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $190 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $170 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $22.25 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GLW hits $190 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-225 (-10.1%) on $2,225 risked, vs +$1,876 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $17,124. Options give 0.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GLW is at $190. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GLW hits $190 by Jun 19
$-225
-10.1% on $2,225 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,225
Premium paid
Break-even
$192.25
+12.27% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
11%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.67 / -7.09 / 28.64
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GLW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $137 (-20%) | -$2,225 | -$2,225 | -$2,225 | -$2,225 |
| $146 (-15%) | -$2,219 | -$2,224 | -$2,225 | -$2,225 |
| $154 (-10%) | -$2,175 | -$2,206 | -$2,223 | -$2,225 |
| $163 (-5%) | -$2,007 | -$2,088 | -$2,172 | -$2,225 |
| $168 (-2%) | -$1,802 | -$1,906 | -$2,031 | -$2,225 |
| $171 (0%) โ spot | -$1,616 | -$1,724 | -$1,857 | -$2,101 |
| $175 (+2%) | -$1,391 | -$1,496 | -$1,619 | -$1,759 |
| $180 (+5%) | -$993 | -$1,083 | -$1,175 | -$1,245 |
| $190 (+11%) โ target | -$65 | -$124 | -$176 | -$225 |
| $197 (+15%) | +$613 | +$563 | +$516 | +$468 |
| $205 (+20%) | +$1,465 | +$1,418 | +$1,372 | +$1,324 |
Uses GLW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.