Target Price Playground
GLW
$171.24
๐ข
GLW IV: 15.2% โ LOW
(-83.3% vs 30d avg of 91.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $150 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $170 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.78 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GLW hits $150 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$122 (6.5%) on $1,878 risked, vs $-2,124 (-12.4%) for 100 shares on $17,124. Options give 0.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GLW is at $150. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GLW hits $150 by Jun 19
+$122
+6.5% on $1,878 risked
Max Profit
+$15,122
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,878
Premium paid
Break-even
$151.22
-11.69% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
7%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-44.0 / -7.31 / 28.66
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GLW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $137 (-20%) | +$1,284 | +$1,329 | +$1,375 | +$1,423 |
| $146 (-15%) | +$433 | +$474 | +$519 | +$567 |
| $150 (-12%) โ target | +$2 | +$33 | +$74 | +$122 |
| $154 (-10%) | -$380 | -$365 | -$336 | -$290 |
| $163 (-5%) | -$1,068 | -$1,103 | -$1,141 | -$1,146 |
| $168 (-2%) | -$1,377 | -$1,435 | -$1,514 | -$1,660 |
| $171 (0%) โ spot | -$1,533 | -$1,595 | -$1,682 | -$1,878 |
| $175 (+2%) | -$1,650 | -$1,709 | -$1,786 | -$1,878 |
| $180 (+5%) | -$1,766 | -$1,810 | -$1,856 | -$1,878 |
| $188 (+10%) | -$1,850 | -$1,867 | -$1,877 | -$1,878 |
| $197 (+15%) | -$1,873 | -$1,877 | -$1,878 | -$1,878 |
| $205 (+20%) | -$1,877 | -$1,878 | -$1,878 | -$1,878 |
Uses GLW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.