Target Price Playground
GLW
$171.24
๐ข
GLW IV: 15.2% โ LOW
(-83.3% vs 30d avg of 91.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $190 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $171.24 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $165 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.05 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GLW hits $190 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$171 (0.9%) on $18,829 risked, vs +$1,876 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $17,124. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GLW is at $190. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GLW hits $190 by Jun 19
+$171
+0.9% on $18,829 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$2,329
Put floors you at $165
Break-even
$188.29
+9.96% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
11%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
62.35 / -8.65 / 28.08
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GLW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $137 (-20%) | -$2,463 | -$2,420 | -$2,376 | -$2,329 |
| $146 (-15%) | -$2,446 | -$2,415 | -$2,376 | -$2,329 |
| $154 (-10%) | -$2,350 | -$2,361 | -$2,362 | -$2,329 |
| $163 (-5%) | -$2,064 | -$2,120 | -$2,195 | -$2,329 |
| $168 (-2%) | -$1,772 | -$1,832 | -$1,913 | -$2,047 |
| $171 (0%) โ spot | -$1,530 | -$1,583 | -$1,648 | -$1,705 |
| $175 (+2%) | -$1,257 | -$1,299 | -$1,342 | -$1,363 |
| $180 (+5%) | -$803 | -$828 | -$846 | -$849 |
| $190 (+11%) โ target | +$177 | +$172 | +$171 | +$171 |
| $197 (+15%) | +$865 | +$864 | +$864 | +$864 |
| $205 (+20%) | +$1,720 | +$1,720 | +$1,720 | +$1,720 |
Uses GLW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.