Target Price Playground
GOOG
$315.72
๐ข
GOOG IV: 7.6% โ LOW
(-84.3% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $355 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.51 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $340 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.27 ยท ฮ 0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $355 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,476 (144.1%) on $1,024 risked, vs +$3,928 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $31,572. Options give 11.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $355. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $355 by Jun 19
+$1,476
+144.1% on $1,024 risked
Max Profit
+$1,476
If the stock โฅ $340 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,024
Net debit
Break-even
$325.24
+3.02% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
22.77 / 5.58 / 3.31
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $253 (-20%) | -$1,024 | -$1,024 | -$1,024 | -$1,024 |
| $268 (-15%) | -$1,024 | -$1,024 | -$1,024 | -$1,024 |
| $284 (-10%) | -$1,023 | -$1,024 | -$1,024 | -$1,024 |
| $300 (-5%) | -$964 | -$1,001 | -$1,022 | -$1,024 |
| $309 (-2%) | -$734 | -$834 | -$942 | -$1,024 |
| $316 (0%) โ spot | -$421 | -$537 | -$683 | -$952 |
| $322 (+2%) | +$3 | -$86 | -$200 | -$321 |
| $332 (+5%) | +$677 | +$675 | +$672 | +$627 |
| $347 (+10%) | +$1,329 | +$1,375 | +$1,430 | +$1,476 |
| $355 (+12%) โ target | +$1,421 | +$1,446 | +$1,466 | +$1,476 |
| $363 (+15%) | +$1,449 | +$1,460 | +$1,469 | +$1,476 |
| $379 (+20%) | +$1,455 | +$1,462 | +$1,469 | +$1,476 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.