Target Price Playground
GOOG
$315.72
๐ข
GOOG IV: 7.6% โ LOW
(-84.3% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $300 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $315 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.35 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $300 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.75 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $300 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$667 (77.5%) on $860 risked, vs $-1,572 (-5.0%) for 100 shares on $31,572. Options give 15.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $300. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $300 by Jun 19
+$667
+77.5% on $860 risked
Max Profit
+$652
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$860
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$309.22
-2.06% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
15%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.86 / 6.26 / 17.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $253 (-20%) | +$520 | +$524 | +$528 | +$531 |
| $268 (-15%) | +$520 | +$524 | +$528 | +$531 |
| $284 (-10%) | +$484 | +$511 | +$527 | +$531 |
| $300 (-5%) โ target | +$100 | +$172 | +$275 | +$537 |
| $309 (-2%) | -$318 | -$303 | -$292 | -$303 |
| $316 (0%) โ spot | -$557 | -$574 | -$605 | -$663 |
| $322 (+2%) | -$716 | -$740 | -$773 | -$816 |
| $332 (+5%) | -$825 | -$838 | -$850 | -$858 |
| $347 (+10%) | -$858 | -$860 | -$860 | -$860 |
| $363 (+15%) | -$860 | -$860 | -$860 | -$860 |
| $379 (+20%) | -$860 | -$860 | -$860 | -$860 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.