Target Price Playground
GOOG
$315.72
๐ข
GOOG IV: 7.6% โ LOW
(-84.3% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $280 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.85 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $280 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$1,815 (107.7%) on $1,685 risked, vs $-3,572 (-11.3%) for 100 shares on $31,572. Options give 9.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $280. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $280 by Jun 19
+$1,815
+107.7% on $1,685 risked
Max Profit
+$29,815
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,685
Premium paid
Break-even
$298.15
-5.57% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-45.01 / -6.99 / 52.95
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $253 (-20%) | +$4,298 | +$4,383 | +$4,468 | +$4,557 |
| $268 (-15%) | +$2,720 | +$2,805 | +$2,890 | +$2,979 |
| $280 (-11%) โ target | +$1,556 | +$1,641 | +$1,726 | +$1,815 |
| $284 (-10%) | +$1,142 | +$1,226 | +$1,311 | +$1,400 |
| $300 (-5%) | -$377 | -$330 | -$265 | -$178 |
| $309 (-2%) | -$1,093 | -$1,111 | -$1,133 | -$1,126 |
| $316 (0%) โ spot | -$1,401 | -$1,442 | -$1,505 | -$1,685 |
| $322 (+2%) | -$1,573 | -$1,608 | -$1,652 | -$1,685 |
| $332 (+5%) | -$1,666 | -$1,678 | -$1,684 | -$1,685 |
| $347 (+10%) | -$1,685 | -$1,685 | -$1,685 | -$1,685 |
| $363 (+15%) | -$1,685 | -$1,685 | -$1,685 | -$1,685 |
| $379 (+20%) | -$1,685 | -$1,685 | -$1,685 | -$1,685 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.