Target Price Playground
GOOG
$315.72
๐ข
GOOG IV: 7.6% โ LOW
(-84.3% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $345 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $315.72 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $300 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.75 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $345 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$1,853 (5.7%) on $32,647 risked, vs +$2,928 (9.3%) for 100 shares on $31,572. Options give 0.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $345. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $345 by Jun 19
+$1,853
+5.7% on $32,647 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$2,647
Put floors you at $300
Break-even
$326.47
+3.4% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
1%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
68.52 / -10.99 / 46.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $253 (-20%) | -$2,894 | -$2,813 | -$2,732 | -$2,647 |
| $268 (-15%) | -$2,893 | -$2,813 | -$2,732 | -$2,647 |
| $284 (-10%) | -$2,852 | -$2,799 | -$2,731 | -$2,647 |
| $300 (-5%) | -$2,354 | -$2,392 | -$2,451 | -$2,647 |
| $309 (-2%) | -$1,640 | -$1,667 | -$1,694 | -$1,706 |
| $316 (0%) โ spot | -$1,057 | -$1,068 | -$1,074 | -$1,075 |
| $322 (+2%) | -$440 | -$443 | -$444 | -$444 |
| $332 (+5%) | +$504 | +$504 | +$504 | +$504 |
| $345 (+9%) โ target | +$1,853 | +$1,853 | +$1,853 | +$1,853 |
| $363 (+15%) | +$3,661 | +$3,661 | +$3,661 | +$3,661 |
| $379 (+20%) | +$5,239 | +$5,239 | +$5,239 | +$5,239 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.