Target Price Playground
GOOG
$315.72
๐ข
GOOG IV: 7.6% โ LOW
(-84.3% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $365 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.51 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.85 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $365 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$1,364 (37.5%) on $3,636 risked, vs +$4,928 (15.6%) for 100 shares on $31,572. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $365. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $365 by Jun 19
+$1,364
+37.5% on $3,636 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$3,636
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$351.36
+11.29% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.97 / -14.62 / 105.7
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $253 (-20%) | +$2,347 | +$2,432 | +$2,517 | +$2,606 |
| $268 (-15%) | +$769 | +$854 | +$939 | +$1,028 |
| $284 (-10%) | -$808 | -$725 | -$640 | -$551 |
| $300 (-5%) | -$2,268 | -$2,258 | -$2,214 | -$2,129 |
| $309 (-2%) | -$2,752 | -$2,872 | -$3,002 | -$3,077 |
| $316 (0%) โ spot | -$2,737 | -$2,904 | -$3,115 | -$3,564 |
| $322 (+2%) | -$2,449 | -$2,605 | -$2,778 | -$2,933 |
| $332 (+5%) | -$1,689 | -$1,796 | -$1,894 | -$1,985 |
| $347 (+10%) | -$147 | -$233 | -$318 | -$407 |
| $365 (+16%) โ target | +$1,623 | +$1,538 | +$1,453 | +$1,364 |
| $379 (+20%) | +$3,009 | +$2,924 | +$2,839 | +$2,750 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.