Target Price Playground
GOOG
$315.72
๐ข
GOOG IV: 5.5% โ LOW
(-88.6% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $355 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.51 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $355 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$2,049 (105.0%) on $1,951 risked, vs +$3,928 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $31,572. Options give 8.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $355. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $355 by Jun 19
+$2,049
+105.0% on $1,951 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,951
Premium paid
Break-even
$334.51
+5.95% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.98 / -7.63 / 52.74
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $253 (-20%) | -$1,951 | -$1,951 | -$1,951 | -$1,951 |
| $268 (-15%) | -$1,951 | -$1,951 | -$1,951 | -$1,951 |
| $284 (-10%) | -$1,950 | -$1,951 | -$1,951 | -$1,951 |
| $300 (-5%) | -$1,891 | -$1,928 | -$1,949 | -$1,951 |
| $309 (-2%) | -$1,659 | -$1,761 | -$1,869 | -$1,951 |
| $316 (0%) โ spot | -$1,336 | -$1,462 | -$1,610 | -$1,879 |
| $322 (+2%) | -$877 | -$997 | -$1,126 | -$1,248 |
| $332 (+5%) | -$22 | -$118 | -$210 | -$300 |
| $347 (+10%) | +$1,537 | +$1,452 | +$1,367 | +$1,278 |
| $355 (+12%) โ target | +$2,308 | +$2,223 | +$2,138 | +$2,049 |
| $363 (+15%) | +$3,116 | +$3,031 | +$2,946 | +$2,857 |
| $379 (+20%) | +$4,694 | +$4,609 | +$4,524 | +$4,435 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.