Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$317.24
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 6.5% โ LOW
(-86.6% vs 30d avg of 48.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $355 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $20.55 ยท ฮ 0.62
SHORT CALL ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.55 ยท ฮ 0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $355 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,800 (150.0%) on $1,200 risked, vs +$3,776 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $31,724. Options give 12.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $355. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $355 by Jun 19
+$1,800
+150.0% on $1,200 risked
Max Profit
+$1,800
If the stock โฅ $345 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,200
Net debit
Break-even
$327.00
+3.08% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
28.35 / 7.1 / 2.2
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | -$1,200 | -$1,200 | -$1,200 | -$1,200 |
| $270 (-15%) | -$1,200 | -$1,200 | -$1,200 | -$1,200 |
| $286 (-10%) | -$1,198 | -$1,200 | -$1,200 | -$1,200 |
| $301 (-5%) | -$1,111 | -$1,162 | -$1,194 | -$1,200 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$831 | -$943 | -$1,070 | -$1,200 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | -$478 | -$602 | -$752 | -$976 |
| $324 (+2%) | -$16 | -$114 | -$230 | -$342 |
| $333 (+5%) | +$729 | +$710 | +$681 | +$610 |
| $349 (+10%) | +$1,552 | +$1,609 | +$1,686 | +$1,800 |
| $355 (+12%) โ target | +$1,679 | +$1,723 | +$1,771 | +$1,800 |
| $365 (+15%) | +$1,758 | +$1,777 | +$1,791 | +$1,800 |
| $381 (+20%) | +$1,775 | +$1,783 | +$1,792 | +$1,800 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.