Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$317.24
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 6.5% โ LOW
(-86.6% vs 30d avg of 48.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $280 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.25 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $290 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.5 ยท ฮ -0.26
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $280 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$1,625 (185.7%) on $875 risked, vs $-3,724 (-11.7%) for 100 shares on $31,724. Options give 15.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $280. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $280 by Jun 19
+$1,625
+185.7% on $875 risked
Max Profit
+$1,625
If the stock โค $290 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$875
Net debit
Break-even
$306.25
-3.46% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-16.43 / 5.35 / 9.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | +$1,604 | +$1,611 | +$1,618 | +$1,625 |
| $270 (-15%) | +$1,591 | +$1,608 | +$1,618 | +$1,625 |
| $280 (-12%) โ target | +$1,474 | +$1,544 | +$1,602 | +$1,625 |
| $286 (-10%) | +$1,296 | +$1,402 | +$1,519 | +$1,625 |
| $301 (-5%) | +$271 | +$327 | +$398 | +$487 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$359 | -$384 | -$424 | -$465 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | -$630 | -$674 | -$740 | -$875 |
| $324 (+2%) | -$779 | -$813 | -$852 | -$875 |
| $333 (+5%) | -$859 | -$869 | -$875 | -$875 |
| $349 (+10%) | -$875 | -$875 | -$875 | -$875 |
| $365 (+15%) | -$875 | -$875 | -$875 | -$875 |
| $381 (+20%) | -$875 | -$875 | -$875 | -$875 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.