Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$317.24
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 6.5% โ LOW
(-86.6% vs 30d avg of 48.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $300 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $315 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.8 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $300 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.4 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $300 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$711 (84.6%) on $840 risked, vs $-1,724 (-5.4%) for 100 shares on $31,724. Options give 15.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $300. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $300 by Jun 19
+$711
+84.6% on $840 risked
Max Profit
+$679
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$840
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$310.14
-2.24% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
13%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-10.78 / 7.1 / 17.62
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | +$540 | +$544 | +$548 | +$551 |
| $270 (-15%) | +$539 | +$544 | +$548 | +$551 |
| $286 (-10%) | +$486 | +$522 | +$545 | +$551 |
| $300 (-5%) โ target | +$117 | +$189 | +$291 | +$558 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$349 | -$344 | -$347 | -$378 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | -$569 | -$590 | -$626 | -$687 |
| $324 (+2%) | -$711 | -$736 | -$768 | -$808 |
| $333 (+5%) | -$808 | -$821 | -$832 | -$839 |
| $349 (+10%) | -$839 | -$840 | -$840 | -$840 |
| $365 (+15%) | -$840 | -$840 | -$840 | -$840 |
| $381 (+20%) | -$840 | -$840 | -$840 | -$840 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.