Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$317.24
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 6.5% โ LOW
(-86.6% vs 30d avg of 48.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $280 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.25 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $280 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$1,875 (115.4%) on $1,625 risked, vs $-3,724 (-11.7%) for 100 shares on $31,724. Options give 9.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $280. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $280 by Jun 19
+$1,875
+115.4% on $1,625 risked
Max Profit
+$29,875
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,625
Premium paid
Break-even
$298.75
-5.83% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.61 / -7.46 / 52.94
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | +$4,237 | +$4,322 | +$4,407 | +$4,496 |
| $270 (-15%) | +$2,651 | +$2,736 | +$2,821 | +$2,910 |
| $280 (-12%) โ target | +$1,616 | +$1,701 | +$1,786 | +$1,875 |
| $286 (-10%) | +$1,066 | +$1,149 | +$1,234 | +$1,323 |
| $301 (-5%) | -$433 | -$399 | -$347 | -$263 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$1,104 | -$1,132 | -$1,174 | -$1,215 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | -$1,379 | -$1,424 | -$1,490 | -$1,625 |
| $324 (+2%) | -$1,529 | -$1,563 | -$1,602 | -$1,625 |
| $333 (+5%) | -$1,609 | -$1,619 | -$1,625 | -$1,625 |
| $349 (+10%) | -$1,625 | -$1,625 | -$1,625 | -$1,625 |
| $365 (+15%) | -$1,625 | -$1,625 | -$1,625 | -$1,625 |
| $381 (+20%) | -$1,625 | -$1,625 | -$1,625 | -$1,625 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.