Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$317.24
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 6.5% โ LOW
(-86.6% vs 30d avg of 48.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $355 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $317.24 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $355 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$3,776 (11.9%) on $31,724 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $355 by Jun 19
+$3,776
+11.9% on $31,724 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$31,724
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$317.24
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | -$6,345 | -$6,345 | -$6,345 |
| $270 (-15%) | -$4,759 | -$4,759 | -$4,759 |
| $286 (-10%) | -$3,172 | -$3,172 | -$3,172 |
| $301 (-5%) | -$1,586 | -$1,586 | -$1,586 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$634 | -$634 | -$634 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $324 (+2%) | +$634 | +$634 | +$634 |
| $333 (+5%) | +$1,586 | +$1,586 | +$1,586 |
| $349 (+10%) | +$3,172 | +$3,172 | +$3,172 |
| $355 (+12%) โ target | +$3,776 | +$3,776 | +$3,776 |
| $365 (+15%) | +$4,759 | +$4,759 | +$4,759 |
| $381 (+20%) | +$6,345 | +$6,345 | +$6,345 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.