Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$317.24
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 6.5% โ LOW
(-86.6% vs 30d avg of 48.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $350 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $317.24 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $300 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.4 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $350 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$2,236 (6.8%) on $32,764 risked, vs +$3,276 (10.3%) for 100 shares on $31,724. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $350. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $350 by Jun 19
+$2,236
+6.8% on $32,764 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$2,764
Put floors you at $300
Break-even
$327.64
+3.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
68.78 / -12.15 / 45.39
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | -$3,011 | -$2,930 | -$2,849 | -$2,764 |
| $270 (-15%) | -$3,010 | -$2,930 | -$2,849 | -$2,764 |
| $286 (-10%) | -$2,948 | -$2,906 | -$2,846 | -$2,764 |
| $301 (-5%) | -$2,366 | -$2,409 | -$2,472 | -$2,626 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$1,618 | -$1,643 | -$1,666 | -$1,674 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | -$1,025 | -$1,034 | -$1,040 | -$1,040 |
| $324 (+2%) | -$403 | -$405 | -$406 | -$406 |
| $333 (+5%) | +$546 | +$546 | +$546 | +$546 |
| $350 (+10%) โ target | +$2,236 | +$2,236 | +$2,236 | +$2,236 |
| $365 (+15%) | +$3,719 | +$3,719 | +$3,719 | +$3,719 |
| $381 (+20%) | +$5,305 | +$5,305 | +$5,305 | +$5,305 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.