Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$317.24
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 6.5% โ LOW
(-86.6% vs 30d avg of 48.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $365 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $20.55 ยท ฮ 0.62
LONG PUT ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.25 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $365 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$1,320 (35.9%) on $3,680 risked, vs +$4,776 (15.1%) for 100 shares on $31,724. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $365. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $365 by Jun 19
+$1,320
+35.9% on $3,680 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$3,680
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$351.80
+10.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
18.99 / -14.27 / 105.05
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | +$2,182 | +$2,267 | +$2,352 | +$2,441 |
| $270 (-15%) | +$596 | +$681 | +$766 | +$855 |
| $286 (-10%) | -$987 | -$906 | -$821 | -$732 |
| $301 (-5%) | -$2,399 | -$2,415 | -$2,396 | -$2,318 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$2,788 | -$2,931 | -$3,099 | -$3,270 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | -$2,705 | -$2,880 | -$3,097 | -$3,456 |
| $324 (+2%) | -$2,370 | -$2,524 | -$2,687 | -$2,822 |
| $333 (+5%) | -$1,579 | -$1,684 | -$1,780 | -$1,870 |
| $349 (+10%) | -$24 | -$110 | -$195 | -$284 |
| $365 (+15%) โ target | +$1,579 | +$1,494 | +$1,409 | +$1,320 |
| $381 (+20%) | +$3,148 | +$3,063 | +$2,978 | +$2,889 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.