Target Price Playground
GS
$875.49
๐ข
GS IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-33.2% vs 30d avg of 52.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $960 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $875.49 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $830 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $26.3 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GS hits $960 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$5,822 (6.5%) on $90,179 risked, vs +$8,452 (9.7%) for 100 shares on $87,549. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GS is at $960. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GS hits $960 by Jun 19
+$5,822
+6.5% on $90,179 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$7,179
Put floors you at $830
Break-even
$901.78
+3.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
53%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
71.4 / -30.81 / 123.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $700 (-20%) | -$6,972 | -$7,200 | -$7,327 | -$7,179 |
| $744 (-15%) | -$6,002 | -$6,489 | -$6,997 | -$7,179 |
| $788 (-10%) | -$4,474 | -$5,175 | -$6,068 | -$7,179 |
| $832 (-5%) | -$2,336 | -$3,139 | -$4,216 | -$7,007 |
| $858 (-2%) | -$769 | -$1,571 | -$2,622 | -$4,381 |
| $875 (0%) โ spot | +$386 | -$392 | -$1,378 | -$2,630 |
| $893 (+2%) | +$1,621 | +$883 | -$11 | -$879 |
| $919 (+5%) | +$3,610 | +$2,952 | +$2,225 | +$1,747 |
| $960 (+10%) โ target | +$6,968 | +$6,458 | +$5,991 | +$5,821 |
| $1007 (+15%) | +$11,133 | +$10,788 | +$10,546 | +$10,502 |
| $1051 (+20%) | +$15,228 | +$15,007 | +$14,891 | +$14,880 |
Uses GS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.