Target Price Playground
GS
$876.00
๐ข
GS IV: 4.6% โ LOW
(-91.4% vs 30d avg of 52.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $950 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $876.0 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $950 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $30.6 ยท ฮ 0.28
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GS hits $950 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$10,460 (12.4%) on $84,540 risked, vs +$7,400 (8.4%) for 100 shares on $87,600. Options give 1.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GS is at $950. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GS hits $950 by Jun 19
+$10,460
+12.4% on $84,540 risked
Max Profit
+$10,460
If the stock โฅ $950 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$84,540
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$845.40
-3.49% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
71.58 / 16.22 / -145.88
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $701 (-20%) | -$14,460 | -$14,460 | -$14,460 | -$14,460 |
| $745 (-15%) | -$10,080 | -$10,080 | -$10,080 | -$10,080 |
| $788 (-10%) | -$5,700 | -$5,700 | -$5,700 | -$5,700 |
| $832 (-5%) | -$1,320 | -$1,320 | -$1,320 | -$1,320 |
| $858 (-2%) | +$1,308 | +$1,308 | +$1,308 | +$1,308 |
| $876 (0%) โ spot | +$3,056 | +$3,060 | +$3,060 | +$3,060 |
| $894 (+2%) | +$4,781 | +$4,806 | +$4,812 | +$4,812 |
| $920 (+5%) | +$7,148 | +$7,305 | +$7,416 | +$7,440 |
| $950 (+8%) โ target | +$8,953 | +$9,293 | +$9,687 | +$10,460 |
| $964 (+10%) | +$9,349 | +$9,690 | +$10,065 | +$10,460 |
| $1007 (+15%) | +$9,670 | +$9,932 | +$10,191 | +$10,460 |
| $1051 (+20%) | +$9,678 | +$9,934 | +$10,191 | +$10,460 |
Uses GS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.