Target Price Playground
GTLB
$20.18
๐ข
GTLB IV: 66.9% โ LOW
(-41.6% vs 30d avg of 114.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $18 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.53 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.62 ยท ฮ -0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GTLB hits $18 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$59 (65.1%) on $91 risked, vs $-218 (-10.8%) for 100 shares on $2,018. Options give 6.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GTLB is at $18. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GTLB hits $18 by Jun 19
+$59
+65.1% on $91 risked
Max Profit
+$59
If the stock โค $18 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$91
Net debit
Break-even
$19.09
-5.37% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-10.66 / -0.25 / 0.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GTLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $16 (-20%) | +$21 | +$26 | +$35 | +$59 |
| $17 (-15%) | +$12 | +$15 | +$22 | +$59 |
| $18 (-11%) โ target | +$3 | +$5 | +$9 | +$59 |
| $19 (-5%) | -$8 | -$9 | -$10 | -$8 |
| $20 (-2%) | -$14 | -$16 | -$20 | -$69 |
| $20 (0%) โ spot | -$18 | -$21 | -$27 | -$91 |
| $21 (+2%) | -$21 | -$25 | -$33 | -$91 |
| $21 (+5%) | -$27 | -$32 | -$41 | -$91 |
| $22 (+10%) | -$35 | -$42 | -$54 | -$91 |
| $23 (+15%) | -$43 | -$51 | -$64 | -$91 |
| $24 (+20%) | -$50 | -$58 | -$72 | -$91 |
Uses GTLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.