Target Price Playground
GTLB
$20.18
๐ข
GTLB IV: 66.9% โ LOW
(-41.6% vs 30d avg of 114.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $19 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $20 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.4 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.85 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GTLB hits $19 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$52 (33.4%) on $155 risked, vs $-118 (-5.8%) for 100 shares on $2,018. Options give 5.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GTLB is at $19. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GTLB hits $19 by Jun 19
+$52
+33.4% on $155 risked
Max Profit
+$50
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$137
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$20.03
-0.7% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.54 / 0.2 / 0.74
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GTLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $16 (-20%) | -$49 | -$42 | -$33 | -$33 |
| $17 (-15%) | -$50 | -$42 | -$29 | -$11 |
| $18 (-10%) | -$52 | -$44 | -$29 | +$21 |
| $19 (-6%) โ target | -$55 | -$47 | -$32 | +$55 |
| $20 (-2%) | -$59 | -$51 | -$37 | +$15 |
| $20 (0%) โ spot | -$61 | -$54 | -$41 | -$3 |
| $21 (+2%) | -$63 | -$56 | -$45 | -$20 |
| $21 (+5%) | -$66 | -$61 | -$51 | -$43 |
| $22 (+10%) | -$72 | -$68 | -$63 | -$73 |
| $23 (+15%) | -$78 | -$76 | -$76 | -$97 |
| $24 (+20%) | -$84 | -$85 | -$88 | -$114 |
Uses GTLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.