Target Price Playground
GTLB
$20.18
๐ข
GTLB IV: 66.9% โ LOW
(-41.6% vs 30d avg of 114.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $23 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.72 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GTLB hits $23 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-22 (-8.1%) on $272 risked, vs +$233 (11.5%) for 100 shares on $2,018. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GTLB is at $23. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GTLB hits $23 by Jun 19
$-22
-8.1% on $272 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$272
Premium paid
Break-even
$22.72
+12.61% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.59 / -2.17 / 3.31
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GTLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $16 (-20%) | -$184 | -$217 | -$251 | -$272 |
| $17 (-15%) | -$149 | -$187 | -$232 | -$272 |
| $18 (-10%) | -$107 | -$150 | -$203 | -$272 |
| $19 (-5%) | -$58 | -$104 | -$163 | -$272 |
| $20 (-2%) | -$25 | -$72 | -$133 | -$272 |
| $20 (0%) โ spot | -$2 | -$50 | -$111 | -$254 |
| $21 (+2%) | +$22 | -$26 | -$88 | -$214 |
| $21 (+5%) | +$60 | +$12 | -$49 | -$153 |
| $22 (+10%) | +$128 | +$80 | +$22 | -$52 |
| $23 (+11%) โ target | +$149 | +$102 | +$45 | -$22 |
| $23 (+15%) | +$200 | +$155 | +$101 | +$49 |
| $24 (+20%) | +$278 | +$235 | +$187 | +$150 |
Uses GTLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.