Target Price Playground
GTLB
$20.18
๐ข
GTLB IV: 66.9% โ LOW
(-41.6% vs 30d avg of 114.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $18 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.53 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GTLB hits $18 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-53 (-20.9%) on $253 risked, vs $-218 (-10.8%) for 100 shares on $2,018. Options give 1.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GTLB is at $18. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GTLB hits $18 by Jun 19
$-53
-20.9% on $253 risked
Max Profit
+$1,747
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$253
Premium paid
Break-even
$17.47
-13.41% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.01 / -1.87 / 3.32
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GTLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $16 (-20%) | +$204 | +$177 | +$149 | +$133 |
| $17 (-15%) | +$138 | +$106 | +$67 | +$32 |
| $18 (-11%) โ target | +$88 | +$52 | +$5 | -$53 |
| $19 (-5%) | +$28 | -$13 | -$66 | -$170 |
| $20 (-2%) | -$0 | -$42 | -$98 | -$231 |
| $20 (0%) โ spot | -$18 | -$60 | -$116 | -$253 |
| $21 (+2%) | -$34 | -$76 | -$133 | -$253 |
| $21 (+5%) | -$57 | -$99 | -$155 | -$253 |
| $22 (+10%) | -$90 | -$132 | -$185 | -$253 |
| $23 (+15%) | -$118 | -$158 | -$206 | -$253 |
| $24 (+20%) | -$142 | -$179 | -$222 | -$253 |
Uses GTLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.