Target Price Playground
GTLB
$20.18
๐ข
GTLB IV: 66.9% โ LOW
(-41.6% vs 30d avg of 114.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $22 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $20.18 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.85 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GTLB hits $22 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-3 (-0.1%) on $2,203 risked, vs +$183 (9.0%) for 100 shares on $2,018.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GTLB is at $22. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GTLB hits $22 by Jun 19
$-3
-0.1% on $2,203 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$303
Put floors you at $19
Break-even
$22.03
+9.17% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
78%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.57 / -1.67 / 3.22
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GTLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $16 (-20%) | -$208 | -$238 | -$273 | -$303 |
| $17 (-15%) | -$167 | -$202 | -$246 | -$303 |
| $18 (-10%) | -$118 | -$156 | -$207 | -$303 |
| $19 (-5%) | -$62 | -$103 | -$156 | -$286 |
| $20 (-2%) | -$26 | -$66 | -$119 | -$225 |
| $20 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$41 | -$94 | -$185 |
| $21 (+2%) | +$26 | -$14 | -$66 | -$145 |
| $21 (+5%) | +$68 | +$28 | -$22 | -$84 |
| $22 (+9%) โ target | +$126 | +$88 | +$42 | -$3 |
| $23 (+15%) | +$219 | +$184 | +$145 | +$118 |
| $24 (+20%) | +$301 | +$269 | +$236 | +$219 |
Uses GTLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.