Target Price Playground
GTLB
$20.18
๐ข
GTLB IV: 66.9% โ LOW
(-41.6% vs 30d avg of 114.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $23 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.72 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.53 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GTLB hits $23 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-225 (-42.9%) on $525 risked, vs +$283 (14.0%) for 100 shares on $2,018. Options give 3.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GTLB is at $23. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GTLB hits $23 by Jun 19
$-225
-42.9% on $525 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$525
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$25.25
+25.15% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.58 / -4.04 / 6.63
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GTLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $16 (-20%) | +$20 | -$39 | -$102 | -$139 |
| $17 (-15%) | -$11 | -$82 | -$165 | -$240 |
| $18 (-10%) | -$28 | -$108 | -$208 | -$341 |
| $19 (-5%) | -$30 | -$117 | -$229 | -$442 |
| $20 (-2%) | -$26 | -$114 | -$230 | -$503 |
| $20 (0%) โ spot | -$20 | -$110 | -$227 | -$507 |
| $21 (+2%) | -$12 | -$103 | -$221 | -$467 |
| $21 (+5%) | +$3 | -$87 | -$204 | -$406 |
| $22 (+10%) | +$38 | -$51 | -$163 | -$305 |
| $23 (+14%) โ target | +$72 | -$14 | -$118 | -$225 |
| $23 (+15%) | +$82 | -$3 | -$105 | -$204 |
| $24 (+20%) | +$136 | +$55 | -$35 | -$103 |
Uses GTLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.