Target Price Playground
GTLB
$19.92
๐ข
GTLB IV: 66.6% โ LOW
(-38.2% vs 30d avg of 107.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $23 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.8 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GTLB hits $23 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-30 (-10.7%) on $280 risked, vs +$258 (13.0%) for 100 shares on $1,992. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GTLB is at $23. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GTLB hits $23 by Jun 19
$-30
-10.7% on $280 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$280
Premium paid
Break-even
$22.80
+14.46% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
68%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.92 / -2.18 / 3.32
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GTLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $16 (-20%) | -$200 | -$230 | -$262 | -$280 |
| $17 (-15%) | -$167 | -$204 | -$245 | -$280 |
| $18 (-10%) | -$127 | -$168 | -$219 | -$280 |
| $19 (-5%) | -$81 | -$125 | -$183 | -$280 |
| $20 (-2%) | -$49 | -$96 | -$155 | -$280 |
| $20 (0%) โ spot | -$27 | -$74 | -$135 | -$280 |
| $20 (+2%) | -$4 | -$51 | -$112 | -$248 |
| $21 (+5%) | +$33 | -$15 | -$76 | -$188 |
| $22 (+10%) | +$98 | +$50 | -$8 | -$89 |
| $23 (+13%) โ target | +$139 | +$92 | +$36 | -$30 |
| $23 (+15%) | +$168 | +$123 | +$68 | +$11 |
| $24 (+20%) | +$243 | +$200 | +$150 | +$110 |
Uses GTLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.