Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
HD
$337.34
๐ŸŸข
HD IV: 9.3% โ€” LOW (-80.0% vs 30d avg of 46.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $320 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $335 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.21 ยท ฮ” -0.33
SHORT PUT ยท $320 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.85 ยท ฮ” -0.31
P&L at Expiry Now $337 Target $320 $236 $337 $439
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If HD hits $320 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$2,160 (282.7%) on $-764 credit (max loss $764), vs $-1,734 (-5.1%) for 100 shares on $33,734. Options give 55.4ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HD is at $320. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if HD hits $320 by Jun 19
+$2,160
+282.7% on $764 max loss
Max Profit
+$2,158
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$764
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$
None% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
16%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-1.72 / 9.85 / 14.06
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

HD Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$270 (-20%) +$2,137 +$2,141 +$2,145 +$2,149
$287 (-15%) +$2,136 +$2,141 +$2,145 +$2,149
$304 (-10%) +$2,087 +$2,122 +$2,143 +$2,149
$320 (-5%) โ† target +$1,704 +$1,775 +$1,878 +$2,160
$331 (-2%) +$1,286 +$1,295 +$1,298 +$1,267
$337 (0%) โ† spot +$1,062 +$1,041 +$1,004 +$936
$344 (+2%) +$910 +$884 +$848 +$802
$354 (+5%) +$803 +$788 +$775 +$766
$371 (+10%) +$766 +$765 +$764 +$764
$388 (+15%) +$764 +$764 +$764 +$764
$405 (+20%) +$764 +$764 +$764 +$764
Uses HD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.