Target Price Playground
HD
$337.34
๐ข
HD IV: 7.2% โ LOW
(-84.7% vs 30d avg of 46.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $380 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $335 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.52 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HD hits $380 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$2,648 (143.0%) on $1,852 risked, vs +$4,266 (12.6%) for 100 shares on $33,734. Options give 11.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HD is at $380. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HD hits $380 by Jun 19
+$2,648
+143.0% on $1,852 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,852
Premium paid
Break-even
$353.52
+4.8% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.26 / -13.9 / 56.45
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $270 (-20%) | -$1,852 | -$1,852 | -$1,852 | -$1,852 |
| $287 (-15%) | -$1,852 | -$1,852 | -$1,852 | -$1,852 |
| $304 (-10%) | -$1,849 | -$1,852 | -$1,852 | -$1,852 |
| $320 (-5%) | -$1,750 | -$1,807 | -$1,845 | -$1,852 |
| $331 (-2%) | -$1,447 | -$1,570 | -$1,708 | -$1,852 |
| $337 (0%) โ spot | -$1,067 | -$1,207 | -$1,371 | -$1,618 |
| $344 (+2%) | -$556 | -$685 | -$820 | -$943 |
| $354 (+5%) | +$365 | +$262 | +$165 | +$69 |
| $371 (+10%) | +$2,031 | +$1,940 | +$1,850 | +$1,755 |
| $380 (+13%) โ target | +$2,924 | +$2,833 | +$2,743 | +$2,648 |
| $388 (+15%) | +$3,718 | +$3,627 | +$3,537 | +$3,442 |
| $405 (+20%) | +$5,405 | +$5,314 | +$5,224 | +$5,129 |
Uses HD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.