Target Price Playground
HON
$235.04
๐ข
HON IV: 13.1% โ LOW
(-76.5% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $265 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $235 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.54 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HON hits $265 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$2,446 (441.6%) on $554 risked, vs +$2,996 (12.7%) for 100 shares on $23,504. Options give 34.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HON is at $265. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HON hits $265 by Jun 19
+$2,446
+441.6% on $554 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$554
Premium paid
Break-even
$240.54
+2.34% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
1%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.91 / -4.9 / 39.38
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HON Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $188 (-20%) | -$554 | -$554 | -$554 | -$554 |
| $200 (-15%) | -$554 | -$554 | -$554 | -$554 |
| $212 (-10%) | -$545 | -$552 | -$554 | -$554 |
| $223 (-5%) | -$442 | -$499 | -$543 | -$554 |
| $230 (-2%) | -$233 | -$333 | -$446 | -$554 |
| $235 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$115 | -$254 | -$550 |
| $240 (+2%) | +$309 | +$195 | +$65 | -$80 |
| $247 (+5%) | +$884 | +$791 | +$700 | +$625 |
| $259 (+10%) | +$2,000 | +$1,932 | +$1,867 | +$1,800 |
| $265 (+13%) โ target | +$2,641 | +$2,576 | +$2,513 | +$2,446 |
| $270 (+15%) | +$3,170 | +$3,106 | +$3,043 | +$2,976 |
| $282 (+20%) | +$4,344 | +$4,281 | +$4,218 | +$4,151 |
Uses HON's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.