Target Price Playground
HPE
$24.89
๐ก
HPE IV: 81.4% โ NORMAL
(+0.2% vs 30d avg of 81.2%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $28 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $25 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.11 ยท ฮ 0.54
SHORT CALL ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.25 ยท ฮ 0.68
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HPE hits $28 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$114 (132.6%) on $86 risked, vs +$311 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $2,489. Options give 10.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HPE is at $28. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HPE hits $28 by Jun 19
+$114
+132.6% on $86 risked
Max Profit
+$114
If the stock โฅ $27 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$86
Net debit
Break-even
$25.86
+3.9% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-13.24 / 5.53 / 0.39
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HPE Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20 (-20%) | -$42 | -$47 | -$57 | -$86 |
| $21 (-15%) | -$35 | -$38 | -$46 | -$86 |
| $22 (-10%) | -$27 | -$29 | -$35 | -$86 |
| $24 (-5%) | -$19 | -$19 | -$22 | -$86 |
| $24 (-2%) | -$15 | -$13 | -$14 | -$86 |
| $25 (0%) โ spot | -$11 | -$10 | -$9 | -$86 |
| $25 (+2%) | -$8 | -$6 | -$3 | -$47 |
| $26 (+5%) | -$4 | -$0 | +$5 | +$27 |
| $27 (+10%) | +$4 | +$9 | +$17 | +$114 |
| $28 (+12%) โ target | +$7 | +$13 | +$24 | +$114 |
| $29 (+15%) | +$11 | +$18 | +$30 | +$114 |
| $30 (+20%) | +$18 | +$26 | +$41 | +$114 |
Uses HPE's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.